Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.44) 0.42 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.7% 8.5% 2.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
14.4%
4 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 6.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.3% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonPeterborough
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack60%33%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton Peterborough
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%0%30%20%20%20%
Draws40%60%50%20%0%10%
Loses0%40%20%60%80%70%

Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWDWL • Peterborough: LLLLDLLWWL

League goals

Metric Bolton Peterborough
HATHAT
GF total11314347
GF avg2.20.61.40.60.80.7
GA total371081018
GA avg0.61.41.01.62.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonPeterborough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%50%90%
1.530%20%20%60%
2.520%0%0%30%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonPeterborough
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score022325

Penalties

MetricBoltonPeterborough
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBoltonPeterborough
Wins12
Draws41
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-10-1
Biggest losses2-00-33-0
Goals For4122
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricBoltonPeterborough
Form57%43%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h75%25%
Goals69%31%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Winner : Bolton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away6.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 3.06 (league 1.44), Peterborough = 0.42 (league 1.14)

Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 6.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.3% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.7% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 2.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1