Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:30 • Eco-Power Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.44) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 29.4% 20.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Doncaster 0 13.9% 9.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.4% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDoncasterBurton Albion
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack38%8%
Defense46%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Doncaster Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins60%40%50%20%25%22%
Draws20%0%10%20%25%22%
Loses20%60%40%60%50%56%

Form: Doncaster: WWDLWWWLLL • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Doncaster Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total7310246
GF avg1.40.61.00.41.00.7
GA total47119514
GA avg0.81.41.11.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDoncasterBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%44%67%
1.520%30%22%44%
2.510%10%0%33%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDoncasterBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score033415

Penalties

MetricDoncasterBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDoncasterBurton Albion
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-00-43-2
Goals For3222
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricDoncasterBurton Albion
Form60%40%
Att83%17%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Doncaster or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Doncaster = 1.27 (league 1.44), Burton Albion = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Doncaster 0 13.9% 9.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.4% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 20.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1