Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • LNER stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.44) 0.42 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.9% 20.3% 7.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.2%
2 - 0
17.6%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 10.4% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.2% 8.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnExeter City
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack77%31%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Exeter City
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%60%60%40%20%30%
Draws40%20%30%0%0%0%
Loses0%20%10%60%80%70%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWW • Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Lincoln Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total116178210
GF avg2.21.21.71.60.41.0
GA total6396612
GA avg1.20.60.91.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%50%80%
1.550%30%20%40%
2.530%0%20%0%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets134112
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricLincolnExeter City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLincolnExeter City
Wins21
Draws30
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-10-1
Biggest losses2-00-22-0
Goals For3341
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricLincolnExeter City
Form79%21%
Att71%29%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Lincoln or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.13 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 1.84 (league 1.44), Exeter City = 0.42 (league 1.14)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 10.4% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.2% 8.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.8% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1