Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Home Park
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.44) 1.23 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 22.8% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Wigan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.6% 10.5% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthWigan
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack85%54%
Defense31%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth Wigan
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%40%40%60%0%30%
Draws0%0%0%20%40%30%
Loses60%60%60%20%60%40%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLW • Wigan: WLWLDDDWLL

League goals

Metric Plymouth Wigan
HATHAT
GF total69159514
GF avg1.21.81.51.81.01.4
GA total7111841115
GA avg1.42.21.80.82.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthWigan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%70%80%
1.540%60%50%50%
2.530%30%20%10%
3.520%10%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthWigan
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricPlymouthWigan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPlymouthWigan
Wins21
Draws03
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-43-0
Biggest losses1-34-00-24-1
Goals For4432
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthWigan
Form64%36%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : Plymouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 1.84 (league 1.44), Wigan = 1.23 (league 1.14)

Wigan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.6% 10.5% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 25.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1