League One — England
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.44) 0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 29.8% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 15.4% 9.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 11.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeNorthampton
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack62%46%
Defense62%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Northampton
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins20%40%30%60%25%44%
Draws20%20%20%20%0%11%
Loses60%40%50%20%75%44%

Form: Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWW • Northampton: LDLLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Port Vale Northampton
HATHAT
GF total5510527
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.50.8
GA total7310178
GA avg1.40.61.00.21.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%56%44%
1.540%30%22%33%
2.50%10%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets134415
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricPort ValeNorthampton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPort ValeNorthampton
Wins03
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-00-1
Biggest losses2-32-10-13-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against3213

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeNorthampton
Form43%57%
Att57%43%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Northampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ William Hill
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away4.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 1.25 (league 1.44), Northampton = 0.62 (league 1.13)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 15.4% 9.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 11.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1