Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Select Car Leasing Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.44) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.9% 28.7% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading 0 10.5% 12.0% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReadingMansfield Town
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack53%33%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reading Mansfield Town
HATHAT
Played4595510
Wins50%0%22%60%20%40%
Draws0%60%33%20%20%20%
Loses50%40%44%20%60%40%

Form: Reading: LLLDDWLWD • Mansfield Town: LLWWWDLDLW

League goals

Metric Reading Mansfield Town
HATHAT
GF total461010515
GF avg1.01.21.12.01.01.5
GA total59145813
GA avg1.31.81.61.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReadingMansfield Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%90%90%
1.533%56%40%40%
2.50%11%10%0%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReadingMansfield Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricReadingMansfield Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricReadingMansfield Town
Wins13
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-11-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-22-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricReadingMansfield Town
Form62%38%
Att62%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h100%0%
Goals78%22%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Reading or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reading = 1.11 (league 1.44), Mansfield Town = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading 0 10.5% 12.0% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 36.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1