Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.07 (league 1.44) 1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.3% 13.0% 9.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Leyton Orient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffLeyton Orient
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack62%54%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Leyton Orient
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%60%60%20%40%30%
Draws0%40%20%40%0%20%
Loses40%0%20%40%60%50%

Form: Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWL • Leyton Orient: LWDWLLWDLL

League goals

Metric Cardiff Leyton Orient
HATHAT
GF total105157613
GF avg2.01.01.51.41.21.3
GA total51671118
GA avg1.00.20.61.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffLeyton Orient
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%80%80%
1.540%10%40%60%
2.520%10%10%30%
3.510%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffLeyton Orient
HATHAT
Clean sheets246112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricCardiffLeyton Orient
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCardiffLeyton Orient
Wins41
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses1-32-34-1
Goals For4223
Goals Against3134

Model comparison

MetricCardiffLeyton Orient
Form64%36%
Att53%47%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away5.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.16 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 3.07 (league 1.44), Leyton Orient = 1.05 (league 1.14)

Leyton Orient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.3% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 9.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1