Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.44) 0.53 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.6% 41.9% 24.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.3%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 30.3% 15.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.8% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC WimbledonPort Vale
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack62%62%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Wimbledon Port Vale
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%50%64%17%40%27%
Draws0%0%0%33%20%27%
Loses20%50%36%50%40%45%

Form: AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWW • Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWD

League goals

Metric AFC Wimbledon Port Vale
HATHAT
GF total88165510
GF avg1.61.31.50.81.00.9
GA total39127310
GA avg0.61.51.11.20.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC WimbledonPort Vale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%55%55%
1.573%18%36%27%
2.50%18%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC WimbledonPort Vale
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricAFC WimbledonPort Vale
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAFC WimbledonPort Vale
Wins23
Draws02
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-13-02-32-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricAFC WimbledonPort Vale
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%63%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Port Vale

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Wimbledon = 0.67 (league 1.44), Port Vale = 0.53 (league 1.14)

Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 30.3% 15.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.8% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 41.9% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1