League One — England
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • St James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.41) 1.28 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.0% 21.4% 23.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Reading
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 3.6% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.5% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.1% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityReading
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack15%54%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Reading
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins40%33%36%40%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%20%60%40%
Loses60%67%64%40%40%40%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLW • Reading: LLLDDWLWDD

League goals

Metric Exeter City Reading
HATHAT
GF total83115611
GF avg1.60.51.01.01.21.1
GA total66126915
GA avg1.21.01.11.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityReading
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%80%90%
1.518%36%30%50%
2.518%0%0%10%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityReading
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricExeter CityReading
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricExeter CityReading
Wins11
Draws02
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-1—
Biggest losses0-22-00-22-0
Goals For4122
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityReading
Form27%73%
Att22%78%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Reading

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Betfair
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.99 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 2.04 (league 1.41), Reading = 1.28 (league 1.12)

Reading
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 3.6% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.5% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.1% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1