Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:00 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.44) 0.07 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.8% 29.0% 2.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
33.4%
0 - 0
26.6%
2 - 0
20.9%
Score & goals probability table
Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 26.6% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.4% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonRotherham
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack31%38%
Defense85%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Rotherham
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%40%0%20%
Draws20%20%20%40%0%20%
Loses20%60%40%20%100%60%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWD • Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Northampton Rotherham
HATHAT
GF total527729
GF avg1.00.40.71.40.40.9
GA total1786915
GA avg0.21.40.81.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonRotherham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%40%60%90%
1.520%30%30%50%
2.50%10%0%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonRotherham
HATHAT
Clean sheets426101
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonRotherham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonRotherham
Wins31
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-1
Biggest losses0-13-10-13-0
Goals For2121
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonRotherham
Form71%29%
Att44%56%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h0%100%
Goals8%92%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Northampton or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.33 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.25 (league 1.44), Rotherham = 0.07 (league 1.14)

Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 26.6% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.4% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.8% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 2.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1