Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
Oakwell
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 1.44)
1.40 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 26.7% | 65.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
26.1%
0 - 0
18.7%
0 - 2
18.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Cardiff | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barnsley | 0 | 18.7% | 26.1% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barnsley | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 62% | 62% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barnsley | Cardiff | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 64% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
Form: Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLD • Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Barnsley | Cardiff | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barnsley | Cardiff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 90% | 82% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 45% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 27% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barnsley | Cardiff | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barnsley | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barnsley | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barnsley | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 34.2% | 65.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 0.28 (league 1.44), Cardiff = 1.40 (league 1.14)
| Cardiff | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barnsley | 0 | 18.7% | 26.1% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.2% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 65.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1