League One — England
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:30 • Pirelli Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.44) 1.07 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 29.3% 34.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 11.3% 12.1% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionPeterborough
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack45%55%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Peterborough
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins33%20%27%20%17%18%
Draws17%40%27%20%0%9%
Loses50%40%45%60%83%73%

Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDW • Peterborough: LLLLDLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Peterborough
HATHAT
GF total5510358
GF avg0.81.00.90.60.80.7
GA total961581220
GA avg1.51.21.41.62.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionPeterborough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%64%55%91%
1.527%36%18%64%
2.59%27%0%27%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionPeterborough
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score415325

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionPeterborough
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionPeterborough
Wins12
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-10-1
Biggest losses0-43-20-33-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionPeterborough
Form57%43%
Att45%55%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Peterborough

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 1.11 (league 1.44), Peterborough = 1.07 (league 1.12)

Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 11.3% 12.1% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 34.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1