League One — England
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Eco-Power Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.44) 0.28 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 29.5% 8.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.9%
0 - 0
21.3%
2 - 0
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Doncaster 0 21.3% 6.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDoncasterNorthampton
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack29%57%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Doncaster Northampton
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins50%33%42%50%20%36%
Draws33%0%17%17%20%18%
Loses17%67%42%33%60%45%

Form: Doncaster: WWDLWWWLLLDL • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDL

League goals

Metric Doncaster Northampton
HATHAT
GF total8311628
GF avg1.30.50.91.00.40.7
GA total511163710
GA avg0.81.81.30.51.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDoncasterNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%55%45%
1.517%33%18%36%
2.58%17%0%9%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDoncasterNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score044235

Penalties

MetricDoncasterNorthampton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDoncasterNorthampton
Wins33
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-24-01-23-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricDoncasterNorthampton
Form13%88%
Att33%67%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total49.8%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Doncaster or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Doncaster = 1.27 (league 1.44), Northampton = 0.28 (league 1.14)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Doncaster 0 21.3% 6.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 8.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1