Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:30 • LNER stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.44) 1.89 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 21.7% 40.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 2.6% 4.9% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.6% 8.7% 8.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.4% 4.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnStevenage
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack82%82%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Stevenage
HATHAT
Played65115510
Wins50%60%55%100%60%80%
Draws33%20%27%0%20%10%
Loses17%20%18%0%20%10%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWL • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWW

League goals

Metric Lincoln Stevenage
HATHAT
GF total116178917
GF avg1.81.21.51.61.81.7
GA total7310178
GA avg1.20.60.90.21.40.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnStevenage
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%90%60%
1.545%27%60%20%
2.527%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnStevenage
HATHAT
Clean sheets134404
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricLincolnStevenage
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLincolnStevenage
Wins34
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-02-3
Biggest losses0-12-01-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricLincolnStevenage
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 1.75 (league 1.44), Stevenage = 1.89 (league 1.14)

Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 2.6% 4.9% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.6% 8.7% 8.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.4% 4.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 40.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1