League One — England
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Home Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.44) 1.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 25.4% 42.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 6.5% 9.6% 7.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.6% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthAFC Wimbledon
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Played65116612
Wins33%40%36%67%50%58%
Draws17%0%9%17%0%8%
Loses50%60%55%17%50%33%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWD • AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Plymouth AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
GF total79169817
GF avg1.21.81.51.51.31.4
GA total811194913
GA avg1.32.21.70.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthAFC Wimbledon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%75%75%
1.536%55%67%17%
2.527%27%0%17%
3.518%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthAFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricPlymouthAFC Wimbledon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPlymouthAFC Wimbledon
Wins24
Draws00
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-42-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-00-13-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against3413

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthAFC Wimbledon
Form43%57%
Att57%43%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h85%15%
Goals61%39%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Plymouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 1.25 (league 1.44), AFC Wimbledon = 1.48 (league 1.14)

AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 6.5% 9.6% 7.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.6% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 42.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1