League One — England
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.44) 1.39 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 16.9% 17.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
7.6%
1 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Reading
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.7% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffReading
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Reading
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins67%60%64%40%0%18%
Draws0%40%18%20%67%45%
Loses33%0%18%40%33%36%

Form: Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLW • Reading: LLLDDWLWDDD

League goals

Metric Cardiff Reading
HATHAT
GF total145195712
GF avg2.31.01.71.01.21.1
GA total81961016
GA avg1.30.20.81.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffReading
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%82%91%
1.545%18%27%45%
2.527%18%0%9%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffReading
HATHAT
Clean sheets246101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricCardiffReading
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCardiffReading
Wins41
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-1—
Biggest losses1-3—0-22-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricCardiffReading
Form54%46%
Att53%47%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw4.55 @ Pinnacle
Away5.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 2.71 (league 1.44), Reading = 1.39 (league 1.12)

Reading
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.7% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 17.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1