League One — England
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.41) 0.62 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 29.5% 18.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 15.0% 9.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 11.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC WimbledonBurton Albion
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%63%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Wimbledon Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played67137512
Wins67%57%62%29%20%25%
Draws17%0%8%14%40%25%
Loses17%43%31%57%40%50%

Form: AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDW • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWL

League goals

Metric AFC Wimbledon Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total910195510
GF avg1.51.41.50.71.00.8
GA total4101410616
GA avg0.71.41.11.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC WimbledonBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%50%67%
1.569%15%25%33%
2.50%15%8%25%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC WimbledonBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score123516

Penalties

MetricAFC WimbledonBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAFC WimbledonBurton Albion
Wins41
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-00-43-2
Goals For2232
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricAFC WimbledonBurton Albion
Form65%35%
Att64%36%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h36%64%
Goals45%55%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Wimbledon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Betano
Under 2.51.66 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Unibet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Wimbledon = 1.27 (league 1.41), Burton Albion = 0.62 (league 1.12)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 15.0% 9.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 11.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 18.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1