League One — England
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.43) 0.48 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 35.5% 17.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.2%
1 - 0
22.8%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 23.2% 11.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonPort Vale
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack50%30%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton Port Vale
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%14%43%14%29%21%
Draws29%43%36%29%29%29%
Loses0%43%21%57%43%50%

Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWW • Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWDDLL

League goals

Metric Bolton Port Vale
HATHAT
GF total145195611
GF avg2.00.71.40.70.90.8
GA total4111510515
GA avg0.61.61.11.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonPort Vale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%50%64%
1.536%21%29%29%
2.514%7%0%14%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonPort Vale
HATHAT
Clean sheets303235
Failed to score033437

Penalties

MetricBoltonPort Vale
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBoltonPort Vale
Wins13
Draws42
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-10-2
Biggest losses—3-00-32-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricBoltonPort Vale
Form64%36%
Att63%38%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h100%0%
Goals91%9%
Total65.6%34.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bolton or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 0.98 (league 1.43), Port Vale = 0.48 (league 1.13)

Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 23.2% 11.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1