League One — England
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Valley Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.42) 0.96 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 26.3% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bradford 0 8.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBradfordBurton Albion
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack60%70%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bradford Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%29%50%29%29%29%
Draws29%57%43%14%43%29%
Loses0%14%7%57%29%43%

Form: Bradford: WDWWDWLWWWDDDD • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWD

League goals

Metric Bradford Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total1310235813
GF avg1.91.41.60.71.10.9
GA total791610818
GA avg1.01.31.11.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBradfordBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%79%57%64%
1.557%29%29%36%
2.521%7%7%21%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBradfordBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score112516

Penalties

MetricBradfordBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBradfordBurton Albion
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-1
Biggest losses—3-10-43-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricBradfordBurton Albion
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%62%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Burton Albion

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away4.90 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ SBO
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bradford = 1.47 (league 1.42), Burton Albion = 0.96 (league 1.14)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bradford 0 8.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 24.6%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1