League One — England
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:30 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.43) 0.59 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 37.8% 24.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.5%
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 24.5% 14.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 11.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonMansfield Town
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack30%80%
Defense50%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Mansfield Town
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%57%29%43%
Draws14%14%14%29%29%29%
Loses43%57%50%14%43%29%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLL • Mansfield Town: LLWWWDLDLWDWDW

League goals

Metric Northampton Mansfield Town
HATHAT
GF total641013821
GF avg0.90.60.71.91.11.5
GA total49136915
GA avg0.61.30.90.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonMansfield Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%57%93%79%
1.521%29%43%29%
2.50%7%7%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonMansfield Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score347011

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonMansfield Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonMansfield Town
Wins33
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-22-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonMansfield Town
Form27%73%
Att27%73%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total40.0%60.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mansfield Town and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.32 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 0.82 (league 1.43), Mansfield Town = 0.59 (league 1.13)

Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 24.5% 14.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 11.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 37.8% · Away win 24.1%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1