League One — England
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Aesseal New York Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.41) 0.88 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 36.5% 40.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
0 - 1
20.2%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 22.9% 20.2% 8.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.0% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotherhamLincoln
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack80%40%
Defense50%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotherham Lincoln
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%57%43%50%
Draws43%0%21%29%29%29%
Loses14%71%43%14%29%21%

Form: Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWD • Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Rotherham Lincoln
HATHAT
GF total1051512618
GF avg1.40.71.11.70.91.3
GA total810187411
GA avg1.11.41.31.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotherhamLincoln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%71%57%
1.536%43%36%21%
2.50%7%21%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotherhamLincoln
HATHAT
Clean sheets213246
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricRotherhamLincoln
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricRotherhamLincoln
Wins33
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-12-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricRotherhamLincoln
Form61%39%
Att67%33%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rotherham or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 0.59 (league 1.41), Lincoln = 0.88 (league 1.12)

Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 22.9% 20.2% 8.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.0% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 40.2%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1