League One — England
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Oakwell
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.44) 0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 25.7% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 9.7% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnsleyNorthampton
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack32%26%
Defense58%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnsley Northampton
HATHAT
Played67138715
Wins50%43%46%50%29%40%
Draws17%29%23%13%14%13%
Loses33%29%31%38%57%47%

Form: Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLW • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Barnsley Northampton
HATHAT
GF total1010208412
GF avg1.71.41.51.00.60.8
GA total99185914
GA avg1.51.31.40.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnsleyNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%53%60%
1.554%46%27%27%
2.531%0%0%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnsleyNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets011426
Failed to score224347

Penalties

MetricBarnsleyNorthampton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBarnsleyNorthampton
Wins23
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-23-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricBarnsleyNorthampton
Form45%55%
Att55%45%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Barnsley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 1.54 (league 1.44), Northampton = 0.79 (league 1.14)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 9.7% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1