League One — England
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Pirelli Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.41) 0.50 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 39.5% 21.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
1 - 0
21.8%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Blackpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 27.5% 13.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 10.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionBlackpool
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack42%32%
Defense79%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Blackpool
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%38%33%38%14%27%
Draws14%38%27%38%0%20%
Loses57%25%40%25%86%53%

Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDW • Blackpool: LLWLLDLWLDLLDWW

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Blackpool
HATHAT
GF total5101513316
GF avg0.71.31.01.60.41.1
GA total10919121123
GA avg1.41.11.31.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionBlackpool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%67%60%93%
1.533%33%33%40%
2.57%20%13%13%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionBlackpool
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score516156

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionBlackpool
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionBlackpool
Wins11
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-43-20-24-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionBlackpool
Form59%41%
Att57%43%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals23%77%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Burton Albion or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 0.79 (league 1.41), Blackpool = 0.50 (league 1.12)

Blackpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 27.5% 13.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 10.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 39.5% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1