League One — England
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.42) 0.61 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 38.0% 25.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.6%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 24.6% 15.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonRotherham
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack32%47%
Defense68%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Rotherham
HATHAT
Played68148715
Wins50%50%50%50%29%40%
Draws0%13%7%38%0%20%
Loses50%38%43%13%71%40%

Form: Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWW • Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Luton Rotherham
HATHAT
GF total5131813518
GF avg0.81.61.31.60.71.2
GA total691581018
GA avg1.01.11.11.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonRotherham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%50%73%73%
1.536%43%40%40%
2.514%14%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonRotherham
HATHAT
Clean sheets347314
Failed to score213134

Penalties

MetricLutonRotherham
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLutonRotherham
Wins23
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-13-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricLutonRotherham
Form35%65%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rotherham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away6.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luton = 0.79 (league 1.42), Rotherham = 0.61 (league 1.14)

Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 24.6% 15.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1