League One — England
Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 19:45 • Lamex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.48) 0.43 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 32.3% 14.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 20.8% 9.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStevenageBolton
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack19%19%
Defense50%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stevenage Bolton
HATHAT
Played101424131326
Wins50%36%42%62%23%42%
Draws40%21%29%31%38%35%
Loses10%43%29%8%38%23%

Form: Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDDLDLL • Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWLWLDDLW

League goals

Metric Stevenage Bolton
HATHAT
GF total121527221133
GF avg1.21.11.11.70.81.3
GA total6172371825
GA avg0.61.21.00.51.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStevenageBolton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%77%69%
1.533%25%31%19%
2.513%4%12%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStevenageBolton
HATHAT
Clean sheets538628
Failed to score268336

Penalties

MetricStevenageBolton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricStevenageBolton
Wins43
Draws24
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-13-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricStevenageBolton
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bolton and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away2.17 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stevenage = 1.14 (league 1.48), Bolton = 0.43 (league 1.11)

Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 20.8% 9.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 14.0%

vtt 11 , vtd1