League One — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Oakwell
Match Finished
5 - 0
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.41) 2.13 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.2% 20.7% 53.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.9%
0 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 3.2% 6.7% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.5% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.8% 5.9% 6.3% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnsleyLuton
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack67%44%
Defense11%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnsley Luton
HATHAT
Played67137815
Wins50%43%46%43%50%47%
Draws17%29%23%14%13%13%
Loses33%29%31%43%38%40%

Form: Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLW • Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWD

League goals

Metric Barnsley Luton
HATHAT
GF total10102051318
GF avg1.71.41.50.71.61.2
GA total99186915
GA avg1.51.31.40.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnsleyLuton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%73%47%
1.554%46%33%40%
2.531%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnsleyLuton
HATHAT
Clean sheets011448
Failed to score224314

Penalties

MetricBarnsleyLuton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBarnsleyLuton
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-31-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-23-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricBarnsleyLuton
Form42%58%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Luton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 1.32 (league 1.41), Luton = 2.13 (league 1.13)

Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 3.2% 6.7% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.5% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.8% 5.9% 6.3% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.2% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 53.7%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1