League One — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 • St James Park
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.44) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.9% 28.4% 35.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
11.6%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 10.1% 11.5% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.7% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack56%67%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%25%31%38%38%38%
Draws25%0%13%13%38%25%
Loses38%75%56%50%25%38%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDL • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Exeter City Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total1241661016
GF avg1.50.51.00.81.31.0
GA total891710919
GA avg1.01.11.11.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%63%63%
1.519%31%31%31%
2.513%0%6%19%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score246516

Penalties

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
Wins11
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-43-2
Goals For4132
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
Form33%67%
Att45%55%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Exeter City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 1.15 (league 1.44), Burton Albion = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 10.1% 11.5% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.7% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1