League One — England
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • St James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.47) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 25.8% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 8.1% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.2% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.3% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack42%58%
Defense25%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played161733171734
Wins44%24%33%41%18%29%
Draws25%24%24%18%35%26%
Loses31%53%42%41%47%44%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWLWWDWWDLDDDDL • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLLLWLLDLDWDWL

League goals

Metric Exeter City Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total221638211738
GF avg1.40.91.21.21.01.1
GA total182139222749
GA avg1.11.21.21.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%62%74%
1.527%33%32%47%
2.518%9%12%18%
3.53%6%3%6%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411639
Failed to score47118513

Penalties

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
Wins22
Draws42
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-35-11-2
Biggest losses1-52-00-43-0
Goals For4352
Goals Against5343

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityBurton Albion
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Exeter City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 1.52 (league 1.47), Burton Albion = 0.98 (league 1.12)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 8.1% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.2% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.3% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 19 , vtd3