League One — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.44) 1.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 26.2% 48.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 8.7% 12.9% 9.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.3% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValePlymouth
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack11%33%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Plymouth
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins13%25%19%29%25%27%
Draws38%25%31%14%0%7%
Loses50%50%50%57%75%67%

Form: Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWDDLLLD • Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLL

League goals

Metric Port Vale Plymouth
HATHAT
GF total561181018
GF avg0.60.80.71.11.31.2
GA total10919101828
GA avg1.31.11.21.42.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValePlymouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%63%60%87%
1.525%31%27%67%
2.50%19%20%27%
3.50%6%13%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValePlymouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets336112
Failed to score549246

Penalties

MetricPort ValePlymouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPort ValePlymouth
Wins32
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-20-4
Biggest losses0-34-01-34-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricPort ValePlymouth
Form67%33%
Att25%75%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Port Vale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ SBO
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ SBO
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 0.96 (league 1.44), Plymouth = 1.48 (league 1.14)

Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 8.7% 12.9% 9.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.3% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 48.8%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1