League One — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.48) 0.48 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 47.7% 26.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.4%
0 - 1
18.5%
1 - 0
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 38.4% 18.5% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 8.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonCardiff
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack56%78%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Cardiff
HATHAT
Played87157714
Wins50%29%40%71%43%57%
Draws13%14%13%0%29%14%
Loses38%57%47%29%29%29%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLW • Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Northampton Cardiff
HATHAT
GF total841216622
GF avg1.00.60.82.30.91.6
GA total59149514
GA avg0.61.30.91.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonCardiff
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%60%79%57%
1.527%27%43%21%
2.50%7%21%21%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonCardiff
HATHAT
Clean sheets426246
Failed to score347123

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonCardiff
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonCardiff
Wins34
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-33-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonCardiff
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Double chance : Northampton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Betfair
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away2.08 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 0.47 (league 1.48), Cardiff = 0.48 (league 1.12)

Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 38.4% 18.5% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 8.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 47.7% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 14 , vtd1