League One — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • LNER stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.43) 0.71 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.8% 27.7% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 12.3% 8.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnPort Vale
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack31%0%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Port Vale
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%33%47%11%25%18%
Draws25%22%24%33%25%29%
Loses13%44%29%56%50%53%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWL • Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWDDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Lincoln Port Vale
HATHAT
GF total148225611
GF avg1.80.91.30.60.80.6
GA total8101811920
GA avg1.01.11.11.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnPort Vale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%65%41%65%
1.541%29%24%29%
2.518%12%0%18%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnPort Vale
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score1456410

Penalties

MetricLincolnPort Vale
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLincolnPort Vale
Wins33
Draws32
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-34-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricLincolnPort Vale
Form80%20%
Att100%0%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total63.6%36.4%

Advice: Double chance : Lincoln or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 1.39 (league 1.43), Port Vale = 0.71 (league 1.12)

Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 12.3% 8.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1