League One — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.44) 0.56 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 34.6% 20.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.0%
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 21.0% 11.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 11.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonBolton
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack46%54%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Bolton
HATHAT
Played89179716
Wins50%44%47%67%14%44%
Draws13%11%12%33%43%38%
Loses38%44%41%0%43%19%

Form: Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLW • Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Luton Bolton
HATHAT
GF total7132018523
GF avg0.91.41.22.00.71.4
GA total7142141115
GA avg0.91.61.20.41.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonBolton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%53%75%69%
1.535%41%38%19%
2.512%18%19%6%
3.50%6%13%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonBolton
HATHAT
Clean sheets448505
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricLutonBolton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricLutonBolton
Wins23
Draws14
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-25-0—3-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against3513

Model comparison

MetricLutonBolton
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Luton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luton = 1.00 (league 1.44), Bolton = 0.56 (league 1.12)

Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 21.0% 11.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 11.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 20.2%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1