League One — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Home Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.43) 0.75 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 33.1% 26.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 17.4% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.7% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthNorthampton
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack23%38%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth Northampton
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins29%33%31%44%29%38%
Draws14%0%6%11%14%13%
Loses57%67%63%44%57%50%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLW • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Plymouth Northampton
HATHAT
GF total811199413
GF avg1.11.21.21.00.60.8
GA total1018288917
GA avg1.42.01.80.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%81%56%63%
1.525%63%25%31%
2.519%25%0%13%
3.513%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets123426
Failed to score246347

Penalties

MetricPlymouthNorthampton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPlymouthNorthampton
Wins23
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-42-01-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-33-1
Goals For4422
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthNorthampton
Form33%67%
Att38%63%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total37.8%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Northampton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 10Bet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away3.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 1.00 (league 1.43), Northampton = 0.75 (league 1.12)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 17.4% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.7% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1