League One — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.44) 1.27 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 19.9% 20.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.7% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.5% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffMansfield Town
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack77%54%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Mansfield Town
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins71%50%60%50%25%38%
Draws0%25%13%25%25%25%
Loses29%25%27%25%50%38%

Form: Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLLW • Mansfield Town: LLWWWDLDLWDWDWLL

League goals

Metric Cardiff Mansfield Town
HATHAT
GF total1692514923
GF avg2.31.11.71.81.11.4
GA total961591120
GA avg1.30.81.01.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffMansfield Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%94%81%
1.547%20%38%38%
2.527%20%6%6%
3.513%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffMansfield Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets246213
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricCardiffMansfield Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCardiffMansfield Town
Wins43
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-33-11-32-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricCardiffMansfield Town
Form56%44%
Att59%41%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 2.23 (league 1.44), Mansfield Town = 1.27 (league 1.12)

Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.7% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.5% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.6% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 20.8%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1