League One — England
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • St James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.41) 1.25 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 20.7% 21.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 3.5% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 9.1% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityAFC Wimbledon
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack40%60%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins38%22%29%50%44%47%
Draws25%0%12%13%11%12%
Loses38%78%59%38%44%41%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLL • AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Exeter City AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
GF total12416101323
GF avg1.50.40.91.31.41.4
GA total8101871825
GA avg1.01.11.10.92.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityAFC Wimbledon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%76%71%82%
1.518%29%59%29%
2.512%0%6%24%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityAFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score257235

Penalties

MetricExeter CityAFC Wimbledon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricExeter CityAFC Wimbledon
Wins14
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-25-0
Goals For4123
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityAFC Wimbledon
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Wimbledon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away3.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 2.12 (league 1.41), AFC Wimbledon = 1.25 (league 1.12)

AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 3.5% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 9.1% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 11 , Vtod2