League One — England
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • Brisbane Road
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.40) 1.26 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 22.1% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leyton Orient 0 4.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.9% 10.0% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.7% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.2% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeyton OrientLuton
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack90%60%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leyton Orient Luton
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%33%39%44%44%44%
Draws33%0%17%22%11%17%
Loses22%67%44%33%44%39%

Form: Leyton Orient: LWDWLLWDLLLWLWLWDW • Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWD

League goals

Metric Leyton Orient Luton
HATHAT
GF total15142981321
GF avg1.71.61.60.91.41.2
GA total9202981422
GA avg1.02.21.60.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeyton OrientLuton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%72%72%56%
1.544%44%33%39%
2.522%28%11%17%
3.511%17%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeyton OrientLuton
HATHAT
Clean sheets325448
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricLeyton OrientLuton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLeyton OrientLuton
Wins12
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-10-3
Biggest losses2-34-10-25-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricLeyton OrientLuton
Form56%44%
Att60%40%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h15%85%
Goals38%62%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Luton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Leyton Orient = 1.94 (league 1.40), Luton = 1.26 (league 1.11)

Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leyton Orient 0 4.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.9% 10.0% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.7% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.2% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 24.6%

Vtot 10 , Vtod7