League One — England
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • LNER stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.44) 1.11 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 25.4% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.1% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnBarnsley
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%100%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Barnsley
HATHAT
Played99187815
Wins67%33%50%57%38%47%
Draws22%22%22%14%38%27%
Loses11%44%28%29%25%27%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLW • Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLWWD

League goals

Metric Lincoln Barnsley
HATHAT
GF total15823151126
GF avg1.70.91.32.11.41.7
GA total8101891019
GA avg0.91.11.01.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnBarnsley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%61%73%87%
1.539%28%53%40%
2.517%11%33%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnBarnsley
HATHAT
Clean sheets347112
Failed to score145224

Penalties

MetricLincolnBarnsley
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLincolnBarnsley
Wins32
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-22-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricLincolnBarnsley
Form47%53%
Att33%67%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lincoln or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ 188Bet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 1.54 (league 1.44), Barnsley = 1.11 (league 1.14)

Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.1% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1