League One — England
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 20:00 • Lamex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.44) 0.29 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 44.3% 13.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.3%
1 - 0
26.3%
0 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 36.3% 10.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStevenageCardiff
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack20%100%
Defense80%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stevenage Cardiff
HATHAT
Played79169817
Wins71%44%56%78%50%65%
Draws29%22%25%0%25%12%
Loses0%33%19%22%25%24%

Form: Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWD • Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLLWWW

League goals

Metric Stevenage Cardiff
HATHAT
GF total9101922931
GF avg1.31.11.22.41.11.8
GA total291111617
GA avg0.31.00.71.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStevenageCardiff
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%56%82%59%
1.538%13%53%24%
2.513%0%35%18%
3.50%0%12%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStevenageCardiff
HATHAT
Clean sheets527347
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricStevenageCardiff
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricStevenageCardiff
Wins44
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-01-3
Biggest losses—1-01-33-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricStevenageCardiff
Form40%60%
Att17%83%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stevenage or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stevenage = 0.72 (league 1.44), Cardiff = 0.29 (league 1.14)

Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 36.3% 10.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 44.3% · Away win 13.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1