League One — England
Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 15:00 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.41) 0.14 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.8% 22.6% 3.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.5%
2 - 0
22.1%
0 - 0
18.3%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 18.3% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonExeter City
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack80%40%
Defense80%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton Exeter City
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins67%13%41%38%22%29%
Draws33%50%41%25%0%12%
Loses0%38%18%38%78%59%

Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDD • Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Bolton Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total1862412416
GF avg2.00.81.41.50.40.9
GA total4121681018
GA avg0.41.50.91.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%59%76%
1.535%18%18%29%
2.518%6%12%0%
3.512%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets505224
Failed to score134257

Penalties

MetricBoltonExeter City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBoltonExeter City
Wins31
Draws41
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-10-1
Biggest losses—3-00-22-0
Goals For4241
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricBoltonExeter City
Form73%27%
Att67%33%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bolton or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Unibet
Draw4.61 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 1.55 (league 1.41), Exeter City = 0.14 (league 1.12)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 18.3% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 3.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1