League One — England
Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 15:00 • Kenilworth Road
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.41) 0.56 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 40.6% 25.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.4%
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 28.4% 15.8% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonPort Vale
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack40%0%
Defense20%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Port Vale
HATHAT
Played910199918
Wins44%40%42%11%22%17%
Draws22%20%21%33%22%28%
Loses33%40%37%56%56%56%

Form: Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDD • Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWDDLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Luton Port Vale
HATHAT
GF total814225611
GF avg0.91.41.20.60.70.6
GA total81523111021
GA avg0.91.51.21.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonPort Vale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%58%39%67%
1.532%37%22%28%
2.511%16%0%17%
3.50%5%0%6%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonPort Vale
HATHAT
Clean sheets448336
Failed to score3256511

Penalties

MetricLutonPort Vale
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLutonPort Vale
Wins23
Draws12
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-34-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricLutonPort Vale
Form86%14%
Att100%0%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total55.6%44.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Luton or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luton = 0.70 (league 1.41), Port Vale = 0.56 (league 1.13)

Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 28.4% 15.8% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 40.6% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1