League One — England
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • St James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.41) 1.04 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.6% 27.0% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.2%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.2% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityBarnsley
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack19%57%
Defense71%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Barnsley
HATHAT
Played910198917
Wins44%20%32%63%33%47%
Draws22%0%11%13%33%24%
Loses33%80%58%25%33%29%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWL • Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLWWDLW

League goals

Metric Exeter City Barnsley
HATHAT
GF total13518181230
GF avg1.40.50.92.31.31.8
GA total81220111324
GA avg0.91.21.11.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityBarnsley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%74%76%88%
1.516%32%53%47%
2.511%0%35%6%
3.55%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityBarnsley
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricExeter CityBarnsley
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricExeter CityBarnsley
Wins12
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-15-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-23-1
Goals For4153
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityBarnsley
Form29%71%
Att25%75%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barnsley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 1.39 (league 1.41), Barnsley = 1.04 (league 1.12)

Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.2% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.6% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1