League One — England
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.44) 1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.3% 32.6% 43.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 17.1% 18.1% 9.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.2% 12.8% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValePeterborough
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack10%38%
Defense62%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Peterborough
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins11%20%16%40%33%37%
Draws33%30%32%10%0%5%
Loses56%50%53%50%67%58%

Form: Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWDDLLLDLLD • Peterborough: LLLLDLLWWLLWLWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Port Vale Peterborough
HATHAT
GF total581314923
GF avg0.60.80.71.41.01.2
GA total111223121527
GA avg1.21.21.21.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValePeterborough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%68%68%79%
1.526%32%32%47%
2.50%16%11%16%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValePeterborough
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score6511426

Penalties

MetricPort ValePeterborough
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPort ValePeterborough
Wins32
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-25-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-33-0
Goals For2252
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricPort ValePeterborough
Form18%82%
Att20%80%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total28.0%72.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Peterborough

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.03 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 0.71 (league 1.44), Peterborough = 1.05 (league 1.14)

Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 17.1% 18.1% 9.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.2% 12.8% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 43.0%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1