League One — England
Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 20:00 • Select Car Leasing Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.44) 1.23 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 28.4% 40.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading 0 10.3% 12.6% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReadingLuton
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack32%32%
Defense74%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reading Luton
HATHAT
Played10919101020
Wins40%11%26%40%40%40%
Draws30%44%37%30%20%25%
Loses30%44%37%30%40%35%

Form: Reading: LLLDDWLWDDDLWDWDWLL • Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDD

League goals

Metric Reading Luton
HATHAT
GF total101121101424
GF avg1.01.21.11.01.41.2
GA total101424101525
GA avg1.01.61.31.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReadingLuton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%79%75%60%
1.521%42%35%40%
2.55%5%10%15%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReadingLuton
HATHAT
Clean sheets314448
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricReadingLuton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricReadingLuton
Wins12
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-25-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricReadingLuton
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h25%75%
Goals20%80%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Luton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Reading = 1.05 (league 1.44), Luton = 1.23 (league 1.14)

Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading 0 10.3% 12.6% 7.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 40.2%

Vtot 28 , Vtod1