League One — England
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 12:30 • Lamex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.44) 0.39 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 39.6% 16.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
1 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 29.2% 11.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStevenageBurton Albion
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack19%14%
Defense90%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stevenage Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played8101810919
Wins63%50%56%30%33%32%
Draws25%20%22%20%33%26%
Loses13%30%22%50%33%42%

Form: Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLW • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Stevenage Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total9132261016
GF avg1.11.31.20.61.10.8
GA total31013141024
GA avg0.41.00.71.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStevenageBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%61%53%63%
1.539%11%26%32%
2.517%0%5%21%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStevenageBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets527437
Failed to score246729

Penalties

MetricStevenageBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricStevenageBurton Albion
Wins42
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-11-00-43-2
Goals For2332
Goals Against1243

Model comparison

MetricStevenageBurton Albion
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stevenage or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stevenage = 0.84 (league 1.44), Burton Albion = 0.39 (league 1.13)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 29.2% 11.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 39.6% · Away win 16.1%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1