League One — England
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • LNER stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.47) 0.89 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 33.5% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 17.5% 15.5% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnCardiff
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack48%67%
Defense67%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Cardiff
HATHAT
Played10102010919
Wins70%30%50%80%56%68%
Draws20%30%25%0%22%11%
Loses10%40%25%20%22%21%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWD • Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Lincoln Cardiff
HATHAT
GF total181028261036
GF avg1.81.01.42.61.11.9
GA total9122114620
GA avg0.91.21.11.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnCardiff
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%65%84%58%
1.545%30%53%26%
2.520%10%37%21%
3.50%0%16%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnCardiff
HATHAT
Clean sheets347358
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricLincolnCardiff
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLincolnCardiff
Wins34
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-33-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricLincolnCardiff
Form40%60%
Att42%58%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 0.86 (league 1.47), Cardiff = 0.89 (league 1.12)

Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 17.5% 15.5% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 9 , vtd1