League One — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.42) 0.91 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 34.1% 36.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.5%
0 - 1
16.9%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 18.5% 16.9% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC WimbledonStevenage
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack36%43%
Defense36%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Wimbledon Stevenage
HATHAT
Played9112091019
Wins44%36%40%56%50%53%
Draws22%9%15%33%20%26%
Loses33%55%45%11%30%21%

Form: AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDWLLLDLDL • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWD

League goals

Metric AFC Wimbledon Stevenage
HATHAT
GF total101424111324
GF avg1.11.31.21.21.31.3
GA total7222951015
GA avg0.82.01.50.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC WimbledonStevenage
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%80%68%63%
1.550%30%42%16%
2.55%25%16%0%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC WimbledonStevenage
HATHAT
Clean sheets314527
Failed to score347246

Penalties

MetricAFC WimbledonStevenage
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAFC WimbledonStevenage
Wins44
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-25-00-11-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricAFC WimbledonStevenage
Form20%80%
Att45%55%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals45%55%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stevenage

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.91 @ 188Bet
Away2.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.42 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Wimbledon = 0.78 (league 1.42), Stevenage = 0.91 (league 1.14)

Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 18.5% 16.9% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 24 , Vtod11