League One — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Oakwell
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.42) 1.10 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 19.1% 17.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.8%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnsleyMansfield Town
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack71%14%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnsley Mansfield Town
HATHAT
Played81018101020
Wins63%30%44%40%20%30%
Draws13%30%22%20%30%25%
Loses25%40%33%40%50%45%

Form: Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLWWDLWL • Mansfield Town: LLWWWDLDLWDWDWLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Barnsley Mansfield Town
HATHAT
GF total18123015924
GF avg2.31.21.71.50.91.2
GA total111627121426
GA avg1.41.61.51.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnsleyMansfield Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%89%80%80%
1.550%50%30%40%
2.533%11%5%10%
3.56%0%5%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnsleyMansfield Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricBarnsleyMansfield Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBarnsleyMansfield Town
Wins23
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-33-0
Goals For5342
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricBarnsleyMansfield Town
Form88%13%
Att83%17%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h13%88%
Goals33%67%
Total55.5%44.8%

Advice: Winner : Barnsley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away3.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 2.27 (league 1.42), Mansfield Town = 1.10 (league 1.14)

Mansfield Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 17.1%

Vtot 8 , Vtod4