League One — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.44) 0.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.4% 21.5% 5.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.1%
2 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 14.4% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.2% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.3% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonRotherham
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack36%21%
Defense71%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton Rotherham
HATHAT
Played101020111021
Wins70%20%45%36%20%29%
Draws30%40%35%36%20%29%
Loses0%40%20%27%60%43%

Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWL • Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLL

League goals

Metric Bolton Rotherham
HATHAT
GF total2082815621
GF avg2.00.81.41.40.61.0
GA total51419151227
GA avg0.51.41.01.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonRotherham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%67%76%
1.535%20%29%38%
2.515%5%5%14%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonRotherham
HATHAT
Clean sheets516325
Failed to score134257

Penalties

MetricBoltonRotherham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBoltonRotherham
Wins33
Draws43
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-01-2
Biggest losses—3-00-33-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricBoltonRotherham
Form80%20%
Att63%38%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total57.5%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Bolton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw4.70 @ 188Bet
Away9.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.11 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 1.67 (league 1.44), Rotherham = 0.26 (league 1.14)

Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 14.4% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.2% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.3% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.4% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 5.3%

Vtot 31 , Vtod1