League One — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
4 - 0
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.44) 0.62 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.3% 39.7% 28.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.8%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Wycombe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 26.8% 16.7% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 11.6% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonWycombe
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack57%43%
Defense43%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Wycombe
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%36%38%55%10%33%
Draws30%18%24%18%50%33%
Loses30%45%38%27%40%33%

Form: Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDL • Wycombe: LLDLDLWLWLDWDWWDWDLDW

League goals

Metric Luton Wycombe
HATHAT
GF total10162621728
GF avg1.01.51.21.90.71.3
GA total101828121022
GA avg1.01.61.31.11.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonWycombe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%62%76%71%
1.538%43%38%33%
2.510%19%14%0%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonWycombe
HATHAT
Clean sheets448336
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricLutonWycombe
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLutonWycombe
Wins22
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-10-1
Biggest losses0-25-01-22-1
Goals For2341
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricLutonWycombe
Form43%57%
Att57%43%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h93%7%
Goals85%15%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Luton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away3.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luton = 0.69 (league 1.44), Wycombe = 0.62 (league 1.12)

Wycombe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 26.8% 16.7% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 11.6% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 39.7% · Away win 28.0%

vtt 24 , vtd1