League One — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.44) 0.62 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 17.7% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.4%
1 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 6.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffExeter City
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack86%43%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Exeter City
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins80%50%65%50%20%35%
Draws0%20%10%20%0%10%
Loses20%30%25%30%80%55%

Form: Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLLWWWWWL • Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Cardiff Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total26113716521
GF avg2.61.11.91.60.51.1
GA total1482281220
GA avg1.40.81.10.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%60%65%70%
1.550%30%20%30%
2.535%20%15%0%
3.515%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets358426
Failed to score123257

Penalties

MetricCardiffExeter City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCardiffExeter City
Wins51
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-10-1
Biggest losses1-33-10-22-0
Goals For4341
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricCardiffExeter City
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Winner : Cardiff

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Unibet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 2.16 (league 1.44), Exeter City = 0.62 (league 1.12)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 6.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 29 , Vtod1