League One — England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • Kenilworth Road
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.44) 1.18 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.5% 21.6% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Leyton Orient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 4.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonLeyton Orient
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack71%64%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Leyton Orient
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%36%41%45%27%36%
Draws27%18%23%36%0%18%
Loses27%45%36%18%73%45%

Form: Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLW • Leyton Orient: LWDWLLWDLLLWLWLWDWDLWL

League goals

Metric Luton Leyton Orient
HATHAT
GF total141630181634
GF avg1.31.51.41.61.51.5
GA total101828112435
GA avg0.91.61.31.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonLeyton Orient
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%59%82%77%
1.541%41%45%41%
2.514%18%18%27%
3.55%5%9%14%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonLeyton Orient
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricLutonLeyton Orient
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLutonLeyton Orient
Wins21
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-25-02-34-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricLutonLeyton Orient
Form46%54%
Att53%47%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h75%25%
Goals58%42%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Luton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away4.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luton = 1.99 (league 1.44), Leyton Orient = 1.18 (league 1.14)

Leyton Orient
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 4.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 12 , Vtod9